Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.420988 0.459658 0.501552 0.550527 0.606488 0.668771 0.743795
2025-09-21 0.355697 0.408918 0.471016 0.549752 0.648285 0.769415 0.932655
2025-09-28 0.309603 0.367572 0.438480 0.533341 0.659730 0.826659 1.071721
2025-10-05 0.291597 0.355975 0.438053 0.553309 0.716107 0.946597 1.315678
2025-10-12 0.275642 0.344239 0.434739 0.567143 0.763932 1.060583 1.576253
2025-10-19 0.258605 0.328876 0.424179 0.568397 0.792146 1.148352 1.815419
2025-10-26 0.240114 0.309663 0.406031 0.555801 0.796350 1.196987 1.996813
2025-11-02 0.223660 0.291871 0.388123 0.541189 0.794604 1.234094 2.165000
2025-11-09 0.210294 0.277425 0.373761 0.530290 0.797016 1.278107 2.359337
2025-11-16 0.198772 0.264819 0.361065 0.520579 0.799815 1.322680 2.568351
2025-11-23 0.188870 0.253932 0.350109 0.512507 0.804197 1.370625 2.801320
2025-11-30 0.183490 0.249393 0.348495 0.519650 0.836933 1.481850 3.239384
2025-12-07 0.174515 0.239167 0.337673 0.510800 0.839813 1.533562 3.547735
2025-12-14 0.167753 0.232004 0.331328 0.509335 0.857258 1.622612 4.019599
2025-12-21 0.158895 0.221097 0.318193 0.494524 0.845878 1.641988 4.275693
2025-12-28 0.157130 0.221148 0.322927 0.512464 0.904426 1.845890 5.332397
2026-01-04 0.154416 0.219500 0.324648 0.524879 0.953109 2.039091 6.534461
2026-01-11 0.149922 0.214722 0.320700 0.526003 0.976756 2.170653 7.600022
2026-01-18 0.143684 0.206799 0.310846 0.514700 0.970155 2.212601 8.251073
2026-01-25 0.137566 0.198815 0.300474 0.501575 0.957678 2.234300 8.821953
2026-02-01 0.132359 0.192132 0.292057 0.491775 0.952129 2.277345 9.594210
2026-02-08 0.127632 0.186064 0.284434 0.483035 0.948189 2.325436 10.482696
2026-02-15 0.123404 0.180669 0.277755 0.475766 0.947126 2.383811 11.557092